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Agenda Quotidien (the minutiae of a tiny life just got smaller) of Cecelia Huynh.

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    3 posts tagged statistics

    the night before…

    … my Statistics exam and I have come up with some final notes - 

    • I can’t remember things that aren’t personally meaningful (i.e. the stuff I don’t get).
    • I don’t get statistics.
    • Therefore, I will not be able to rote learn Advanced Statistics in a one-night-cramming session.

    If I am to undertake this exam I cannot be sober.

    • If I am not sober I am either drunk or hungover.
    • I will not be drunk because the exam is at 9 am and I haven’t gotten that bad yet.
    • Therefore, I will be hungover.

    You can imagine the state I am in.

    On the upside- haven’t I just nailed formal logic!?

    Missing Logic

    Miracles can happen, right? All those assumptions tests for outliers must mean they exist. Or are they just errors in measurement?

    Last glass - here’s to unsystematic variance, the imperfect theory of psychometrics, its continued misuse and misinterpretation and the other unmeasurable f-test, faith.

    Risk Adjusted Life Expectancy

    Please note that the life expectancy adjustment is an estimate only and provided without confidence intervals.

    The effects are also univariate and the interactions between the factors are not taken into account.

    Base Life Expectancy: 82.39 years

    Risk Factor Adjustment: 5.4 years

    Risk Adjusted Life Expectancy: 87.79 years

    1st or 2nd degree relative who died of cardiovascular disease before age 50

    0 relatives

    (But had a massive heart attack and underwent a quadruple bypass?)

    1st or 2nd degree relative who died of cardiovascular disease after age 50

    0 relatives

    PERSONAL FACTORS

    Body Mass Index

    (Lancet Apr 2009)

    normal 18.5 - 22.5

    Smoking

    (BMJ June 2004) 

    never smoked

    Alcohol

    (J Epid Com Health Apr 2009)

    1-14 units per week

    Exercise (NEJM Aug 2005, Arch int Med Nov 2005)

    moderate 30-33

    So does the regular drinking account for the extra years? Although ‘moderate exercise’ is a somewhat generous (if not earnestly aspiration-al) estimation of my physical activity.

    Life expectancy calculations are probably not the most conducive activity for getting to sleep… Maybe I should get a TV? I heard Aldi is selling a big, fat cheap one… Does TV viewing correlate with higher or lower longevity? I bet it is significantly correlated to somnolence.


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